000 FZPN03 KNHC 210318 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 21 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 22 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 23 .WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.1N 124.3W 942 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 21 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...200 NM SW QUADRANT AND 250 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.1N 127.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 40 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.0N 130.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 16.0N 134.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 17.0N 136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 18.5N 138.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM E SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .LOW NEAR 12N103W 1006 MB DRIFTING NW. FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 95W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 108W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N107W 1006 MB. WITHIN 360 E SEMICIRCLE AND SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 3N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC FRI JUL 21... HURRICANE DANIEL...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 110 NM W QUADRANT... 90 NM NW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 60 NM ELSEWHERE FROM CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. LOW PRES NEAR 12N103W...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM W QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM W OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...8N78W 9N90W 11N100W 13N110W 14N120W THEN RESUMES AT 9N125W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 109W. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH