000 FZPN03 KNHC 202153 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC THU JUL 20 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 20 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 21 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 22 .WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.7N 123.4W 948 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 20 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.6N 126.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 38 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.6N 129.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.5N 133.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 16.5N 135.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 18.0N 137.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 330 NM QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM E SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 330 NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .LOW NEAR 11.5N105W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 95W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 107W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 118W AND 127W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N107W 1006 MB. WITHIN 360 E SEMICIRCLE AND SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 3N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC THU JUL 20... HURRICANE DANIEL...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75W NM NW AND SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N 105W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM E QUADRANT AND 120 NM ELSEWHERE FROM CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 11N BETWEEN 91W AND 99W AND FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 105W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N78W 9N90W 11N100W 12N110W 13N120W THEN RESUMES TO 14N130W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 138W. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH