000
FZPN03 KNHC 201523
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 20 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 20
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 21
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 22

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.5N 122.6W 954 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 20 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 100 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 36 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.3N 125.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM N AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.3N 128.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES.  LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.3N 131.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 16.3N 134.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 17.5N 137.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.LOW 11N103W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 
100W AND 108W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N103W 1007 MB. FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 
95W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N106W 1006 
MB. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC THU JUL 20...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 8.5N84.9W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 12.8N93.5W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 15N99.1W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...4N77W 10N100W 13N115W THEN 
CONTINUING 12N135W 9N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 3N TO 6N E OF 78.5W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N92.3W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 11.2N103.9W. 

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH