000
FZPN03 KNHC 191516
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 19 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 19
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 20
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 21

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 11.9N 119.6W 975 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 19 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 
90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM E AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.4N 122.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM N AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.2N 125.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 40 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.0N 129.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.8N 133.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 16.0N 136.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N AND 360 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.LOW 10N103W 1009 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 
92W AND 103W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N99W 1008 MB. FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 94W 
AND 105W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N101W 1006 
MB. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC WED JUL 19...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE 150 NM.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM OF 14.7N94W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...6N77W 9N105W 14N111W 
THEN 15N132W 9N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 7.2N89.2W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM OF 11.2N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 10.4N103.5W.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH