000
FZPN03 KNHC 190915
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED JUL 19 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 19
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 20
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 21

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 11.8N 119.0W 975 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 19 
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 
100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 
90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM E AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.1N 121.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM N AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.9N 125.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 38 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.6N 129.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.5N 133.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.5N 136.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N AND 360 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.LOW 10N103W 1009 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 
92W AND 103W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N99W 1008 MB. FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 94W 
AND 105W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N101W 1006 
MB. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 10 FT.

.N OF 28N W OF 132W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED JUL 19...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM E 
AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 11N TO THE COAST BETWEEN 86W 
AND 99W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N77W 10N93W 9N100W 
13N112W THEN 14N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 107W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH