000
FZPN03 KNHC 182117
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 18
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 19
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 20

.WARNINGS

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 11.9N 117.6W 987 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 18 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.8N 124.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM OF N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 38 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.7N 127.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.5N 131.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 16.0N 135.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N AND 360 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.

.LOW 9N102W 1008 MB MOVING WSW 5 KT. WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 9N BETWEEN 85W AND 
105W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...9N105W 1007 
MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 110W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...10N109W 1005 
MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.LOW...REMNANTS OF CARLOTTA...21N129W 1014 MB MOVING W 10 KT. 
WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.

.N OF 25N W OF 133W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE JUL 18...
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
11.8N117.7W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...5N77W 10N105W 15N115W THEN 
CONTINUING FROM 10N130W TO 9N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 6.6N84.2W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 50 NM OF 7N88.8W AND 
8.5N102.6W AND 14.7N102.8W AND 13.5N108.3W AND 10.2N138.5W.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH