000
FZPN03 KNHC 171453
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 17 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 19

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 12.4N 112.2W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
17 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 12.6N 115.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.7N 118.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.9N 121.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.0N 124.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.5N 127.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF DANIEL WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
OF DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM 
OF DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW...REMNANTS OF CARLOTTA NEAR 21N125W 1010 MB...MOVING WNW 
10 KT. WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 21N128W 1012 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.

.LOW NEAR 10N101W 1009 MB MOVING W 10 KT. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 10N104W 
1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 10N107W 
1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF 
LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.N OF 24N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W N TO NE WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 120 NM FROM COAST NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC MON JUL 17...
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SIMILAR 
CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N115W 12N117W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N86W 9N93W 12N110W 13N120W 
6N135W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 4N E OF 84W TO 
THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 
105W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 
134W. 

$$
FORECASTER COBB
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH