000
FZPN03 KNHC 160302
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN JUL 16 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 18

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.7N 119.6W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC 
JUL 16 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 125 
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 20.1N 
123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 20.2N 126.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
90 NM OF REMNANT LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMNANT LOW PRES OF BUD NEAR 21.5N135W 1008 MB. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW OF BUD W OF AREA NEAR 21.5N 141.0W 
1008 MB. FROM 19N TO 27N W OF 135W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW AND CONDITIONS W OF AREA. 

.LOW PRES 11N102.5W 1009 MB MOVING W 12 KT. WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 12N107W 1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 12N112W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM 
OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 90W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.09 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC SUN JUL 16...
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...THE CENTER IS EXPOSED WITH SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17N121W 19N118W.

REMNANT LOW PRES OF BUD...SCATTERED MODERATE WELL TO N OF 
CENTER...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 23N135W 26N134W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 10N78W 10N115W 14N124W 
9N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE 9N95W 13N105W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 
NM OF LINE 4N78W 10N93W AND WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 9N105W 16N118W 
8N131W. 

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH