000
FZPN03 KNHC 152106
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT JUL 15 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 17

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.4N 118.4W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 15 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55
KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.8N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 19.8N 126.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 21.1N 134.2W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 15 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT GUSTS 35 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.5N 139.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.5N 142.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW OF BUD NEAR 21.5N 139.0W 1008 MB.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW AND CONDITIONS W OF AREA. 

.LOW PRES 11N101.5W 1009 MB MOVING W 12 KT. WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 11N106W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 12N111W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.

.FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 90W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SAT JUL 15...
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...THE CENTER IS EXPOSED WITH SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OVER S SEMICIRCLE.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD...SCATTERED MODERATE WELL TO N OF 
CENTER...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 26N134W 23N135W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 9N84W 11N102W 9N110W 
16N121W 9N132W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 4N78W 7N85W AND FROM 7N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 132W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH