000 FZPN03 KNHC 141520 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 14 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 15 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 16 .WARNINGS ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 19.7N 127.1W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 14 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 225 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 175 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 20.5N 131.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 21.0N 137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 21.0N 142.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 20.5N 148.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 20.0N 154.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.4N 113.7W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 14 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.8N 117.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 20 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.0N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N 125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 20.0N 127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 20.0N 129.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 7N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS... WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 90W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W S OF 15N. FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST DEVELOPING LOW PRES NEAR 11N99W 1009 MB. FROM 3N TO 9N BETWEEN 95W AND 108W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 108W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N109W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC FRI JUL 14... TROPICAL STORM BUD...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOTED. HURRICANE CARLOTTA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN BANDS WITHIN 180 NM IN THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...8N82W 9N100W 15N110W 10N126W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 108W. $$ FORECASTER COBB TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH