000
FZPN03 KNHC 140954
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 14
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 15
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 16

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BUD NEAR 19.5N 125.9W 983 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 14
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 225 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 25 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 20.1N 127.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM S SEMICIRLCE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 20.9N 130.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM
N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 21.8N 135.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 22.0N 141.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 22.0N 146.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 22.0N 150.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.1N 112.8W 981 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 14
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
75 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 27 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.4N 116.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS
TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.8N 120.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 W SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.0N 123.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N
125.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 20.0N 128.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 
5N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 133W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 14N TO 24N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEE EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS CONDITIONS FOR 
TROPICAL STORM BUD.

.FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 92W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W S OF 15N. FROM 3N TO 
9N BETWEEN 94W AND 107W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 
9N TO 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 105W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N105W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N110W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM
N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0915 UTC FRI JUL 14...
HURRICANE BUD...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.

HURRICANE CARLOTTA...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 20 NM N QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG IN SPIRAL BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT.

SCATTERED STRONG FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 95W AND 99W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...9N80W 8N90W 10N105W 13N118W
10N128W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 
87W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 121W
...AND 123W AND 126W. 

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH