000
FZPN03 KNHC 140301
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 14
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 15
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 16

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BUD NEAR 18.9N 124.6W 972 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 14 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 225 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 20.5N 129.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 21.6N 134.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT IN E SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 22.0N 139.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 22.0N 144.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 22.0N 149.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.1N 112.1W 981 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 14 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 105 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.5N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 26 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.8N 119.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N 122.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 20.0N
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 20.5N 127.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 5N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 120W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 
NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 
NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N AND 240 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 14N TO 22N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 92W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W S OF 15N. FROM 3N TO 
9N BETWEEN 94W AND 107W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 
9N TO 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 105W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N108W 1007 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC FRI JUL 14...
HURRICANE BUD...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 
75 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

HURRICANE CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM E AND 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE IN SPIRAL BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
180 NM SE QUADRANT.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...10N80W 9N90W 13N98W 
11N105W THEN 15N118W 5N134W 6N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 103W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 132W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH