000 FZPN03 KNHC 130953 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC THU JUL 13 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 13 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 14 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 15 .WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE BUD NEAR 17.5N 120.5W 953 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 13 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...125 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 19.5N 125.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 32 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 20.9N 130.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 21.0N 135.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.0N 140.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 20.5N 144.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 16.4N 109.4W 981 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 13 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 105 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.3N 112.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 220 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.5N 116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.0N 119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.5N 122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N 125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM S AND 200 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 3N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 3N TO 14N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA ...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 128W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 21N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 92W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 3N TO 9N BETWEEN 91W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 3N TO 9N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 12N94W 7N95W. WITHIN 120 NM E OF TROUGH E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 60 NM W OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N101W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 0915 UTC THU JUL 13... HURRICANE BUD...SCATTERED STRONG IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE CENTER ...EXCEPT 60 NM W QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER...EXCEPT 75 NM W QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN SPIRAL BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E AND SE QUADRANTS. HURRICANE CARLOTTA...SCATTERED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER ...EXCEPT 90 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN IS WRITHING 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N109W 13N108W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 11.5N91W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N77W 9N90W 12N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG N OF 3N E OF 80W...AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 101.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W AND 130W. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH