000
FZPN03 KNHC 122128
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED JUL 12 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 12
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 13
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 14

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BUD NEAR 16.3N 117.5W 970 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 12
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 125 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 18.4N 122.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 28 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 20.1N 126.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 21.0N 131.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 21.0N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 21.0N 139.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 15.3N 106.4W 997 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 12 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE...200 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 16.3N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM NE 
AND 100 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.0N 114.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 30 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.5N 117.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.0N 119.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 19.0N 
122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 
112W AND 126W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
5N TO 14N BETWEEN 117W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 92W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 9N BETWEEN 90W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC WED JUL 12...
HURRICANE BUD...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 50 NM OF THE CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN SPIRAL BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM OF THE CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 
NM SW AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N78W 10N97W 15N106W 
16N114W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 
NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 131W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH