000 FZPN03 KNHC 121517 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC WED JUL 12 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 12 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 13 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 14 .WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE BUD NEAR 15.7N 116.2W 972 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 12 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM W SEMICIRCLE...250 NM NE QUADRANT AND 200 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 17.5N 120.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 130 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 19.3N 125.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 20.0N 130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 20.0N 133.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 19.5N 137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 14.5N 105.3W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 12 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 5O KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 15.6N 109.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 N NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 16.5N 113.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.0N 116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.0N 119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS. WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS. WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 126W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS. WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS. WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS. .FROM 14N TO 25N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 88W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 91W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC WED JUL 12... HURRICANE BUD...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 15.4N115.9W. TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 13.8N105.4W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 17.1N105.8W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...6N77W 5N85W 11N100W 10N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 6.2N79.8W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10.7N TO 14N FROM 90.5W TO 94W. $$ FORECASTER LL TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH