000 FZPN03 KNHC 121004 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC WED JUL 12 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 12 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 13 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 14 .WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE BUD NEAR 15.0N 115.3W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 12 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM W SEMICIRCLE...250 NM NE QUADRANT AND 200 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 16.6N 119.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 130 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 18.5N 124.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 19.5N 128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 19.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 19.0N 136.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 14.1N 103.9W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 12 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 175 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 15.4N 108.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 70 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 N NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 16.5N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.0N 115.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.5N 118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 20.5N 120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS FOR BUD...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS FOR BUD...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 15N BETWEEN 112W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS FOR BUD...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS FOR TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA... WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS FOR CARLOTTA... WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS FOR CARLOTTA... WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .FROM 14N TO 25N W OF 137W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 26N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FROM 14N TO 24N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 88W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 91W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 0945 UTC WED JUL 12... HURRICANE BUD...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED STRONG ASSOCIATED WITH A SPIRAL BAND WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SW AND W OF CENTER AND 60 NM NW OF CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. OTHER SCATTERED STRONG IN A SPIRAL BAND WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 14N107W 16N105W TO 17N103W...AND ALONG AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. SCATTERED STRONG N OF 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 92W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N78W 9N90W 10N95W 14N102W 11N127W 8N136W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 124W. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH