000
FZPN03 KNHC 111017
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 11
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 12
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 13

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 13.7N 111.3W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC  11
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 0 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 14.8N 113.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 15.8N 117.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 17.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 17.5N 124.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 17.5N 128.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 118W 
S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 13N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 14N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.LOW 11N97W 1008 MB MOVING W 5 TO 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N101W 1004 
MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...15N106W 1003 
MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 25N W OF 132W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 26N W OF 128W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 24N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 92W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 11...
TROPICAL STORM BUD...NUMEROUS MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 
200 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM 
OF THE CENTER.

SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 19N 
TO 26N...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...6N77W 12N97W 13N110W 
12N120W 7N130W 7N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 4N TO 8N 
E OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
93W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS 
BETWEEN 118W AND 128W.

$$
FORECASTER FET
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH