
000
FZPN03 KNHC 232103
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI JUL 23 2004
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 23
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 24
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 25

WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 16.1N 126.5W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC 
JUL 23 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 
35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISSIPATING NEAR 
16.3N 127.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. HIGHEST 
SEAS 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 16.4N 133.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 25 KT GUSTS 30 KT. HIGHEST SEAS 9 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 
NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF CELIA WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF CELIA WIND 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF REMNANT LOW 
WIND TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 135W WIND NE TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 7N BETWEEN 120W AND 100W WIND S TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 80W WIND S TO SW TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SLY SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC FRI JUL 23...
TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OVER W 
SEMICIRCLE.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG OVER SEA OF CORTEZ S OF 27N.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 7N77W 12N102W 8N120W 
10N132W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 122W AND 
WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH




