000
FZNT02 KNHC 151503
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU AUG 15 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 17.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 25.0N 69.2W 975 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 15
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...270 NM NE QUADRANT AND
240 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N64W 
TO 28N67W TO 28N71W TO 24N72W TO 20N68W TO 21N65W TO 25N64W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 28N66W TO
29N70W TO 26N74W TO 23N75W TO 20N68W TO 24N63W TO 28N66W... 
INCLUDING ATLANTIC EXPOSURES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 28.5N 67.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM W SEMICIRCLE...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...210 
NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N62W TO 31N73W TO 26N70W TO 24N64W TO 28N61W 
TO 31N62W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 30N61W TO 28N72W TO 31N73W TO 28N79W TO 22N68W TO 24N64W 
TO 30N61W...INCLUDING ATLANTIC EXPOSURES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 32.0N 65.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 170 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N59W TO 31N70W TO 27N64W TO 
28N60W TO 31N59W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 31N56W TO 29N66W TO 31N76W TO 27N73W TO 25N65W TO 
28N58W TO 31N56W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 14N66W TO 17N67W TO 16N69W TO 15N70W TO 13N70W
TO 11N67W TO 14N66W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N69W TO 14N70W TO 14N72W TO 13N73W TO
12N71W TO 13N69W TO 14N69W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.