000
FZNT02 KNHC 121807 AAA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UPDATED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1807 UTC WED OCT 12 2022

UPDATED WARNINGS SECTION   

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 22.0N 94.5W 1002 MB AT 1800 UTC OCT 12 
MOVING N OR 10 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 
60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...60 
NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NE QUADRANT...90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. FROM 20N TO 21N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 21.6N 94.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 20N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 95W AND 96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 20.0N 94.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARL NEAR 18.1N 
95.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 75W AND 77W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.