000
FZNT02 KNHC 130402
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 15.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED NEAR 21.5N 75.6W 1013 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 13 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 21N74W TO 21N76W TO 22N77W TO 24N76W TO 
23N74W TO 21N74W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.. E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 22.2N 77.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N76W TO 22N78W TO
23N78W TO 24N79W TO 24N77W TO 22N76W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 23.0N 79.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE CHANGE IN
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
23N78W TO 24N81W TO 25N81W TO 25N79W TO 24N78W TO 
23N78W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED OVER GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 
25.5N 82.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN RADII OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N81.5W TO 
25.5N81.5W TO 25.5N82.5W TO 26.5N82.5W TO 26.5N82W TO 26N81.5W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 29.1N 84.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED INLAND NEAR 31.8N 85.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED INLAND NEAR 34.4N 
85.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 14N45W 1010 MB.  WITHIN 15N43W TO 15N44W TO 
16N44W TO 16N43W TO 15N43W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
16N52W 1007 MB. WITHIN 17N49W TO 15N50W TO 16N51W TO 19N53W TO 
19N51W TO 17N49W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
17N60W 1006 MB. WITHIN 17N57W TO 17N60W TO 19N60W TO 19N57W TO 
19N56W TO 17N57W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 11N71W TO 12N72W TO 12N73W TO 13N73W TO 13N70W
TO 11N71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.