000
FZNT02 KNHC 111611
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 11 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 13.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 18.2N 69.7W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 11
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N68W TO 18N69W TO 
20N69W TO 20N68W TO 19N68W TO 18N68W...INCLUDING THE MONA 
PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED INLAND NEAR 19.2N 
71.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED OVER WATER NEAR 20.3N
73.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 20N73W 
TO 21N74W TO 22N74W TO 22N73W TO 21N72W TO 20N73W WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 21.4N 76.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 22.3N 78.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N77W TO 22N78W TO 22N79W TO 23N78W 
TO 23N77W TO 22N77W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 24.6N 81.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 27.5N 83.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FRED INLAND NEAR 30.5N 85.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 11N76W TO 11N77W TO 12N77W TO 12N76W TO 11N76W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.