000
FZNT02 KNHC 071510
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 7 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL  9.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 29.9N 83.6W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 07 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80
NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 
FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 27N82W TO 27N84W TO 28N85W TO 30N84W TO 
29N83W TO 27N82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND NEAR 34.3N 
80.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS...CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 40.6N 73.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS...WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA NEAR 49.0N
60.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA NEAR 58.0N
47.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 03 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 20N73W TO
21N73W TO 21N72W TO 20N71W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NO CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N72W TO 20N74W TO 21N73W TO
20N72W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 11N70W TO 11N78W TO 14N78W TO 16N76W TO 18N71W
TO 11N70W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N75W TO 11N77W TO 13N78W TO 14N77W TO
13N76W TO 12N75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 11N71W TO 10N79W TO 12N82W TO 18N78W TO 17N70W
TO 11N71W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N75W TO 11N78W TO 12N79W TO 14N78W TO
13N75W TO 11N75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 11N72W TO 09N78W TO 11N83W TO 17N84W TO 18N71W
TO 11N72W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 17N86W TO 16N86W TO 17N87W TO 18N88W TO 18N87W
TO 17N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NO CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.GULF OF MEXICO 33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N88W TO 22N90W TO
23N90W TO 23N89W TO 22N88W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.