000
FZNT02 KNHC 070428
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED JUL 07 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 07.
.24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 08.
.48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 27.3N 83.2W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 07 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N82W TO 26N83W TO 27N84W TO 28N83W TO 
27N82W TO 26N82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 26N82W TO 26N84W TO 26N85W TO 28N85W TO 29N84W TO 
26N82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 29.0N 83.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E AND 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N83W TO 28N84W
TO 30N84W TO 29N83W TO 28N83W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND GEORGIA NEAR 31.4N 
82.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND WELL NE OF AREA 
NEAR 36.4N 77.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER WELL NE OF AREA
NEAR 42.8N 68.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA WELL NE OF 
AREA NEAR 51.0N 54.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 21N72W TO
21N71W TO 20N71W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 11N70W TO 12N76W TO 14N77W TO 15N72W TO 14N70W
TO 11N70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N69W TO 11N72W TO 12N78W TO 16N76W TO
16N72W TO 12N69W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N69W TO 11N71W TO 11N80W TO 16N78W TO 17N72W
TO 12N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N70W TO 11N74W TO 12N81W TO 18N78W TO
17N71W TO 13N70W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 11N71W TO 10N78W TO 12N82W TO 18N79W TO 17N71W TO 11N71W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 16N85W TO 16N86W TO 17N86W TO 18N85W TO 17N85W
TO 16N85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.