000
FZNT02 KNHC 062109
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 6 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL  8.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 25.8N 83.0W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 06 
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 
60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...80 
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 25N81W TO 23N82W TO 25N85W
TO 28N85W TO 29N83W TO 25N81W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF 
FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 27.5N 83.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 25N82W TO 25N85W TO 28N86W TO 30N85W TO 29N83W
TO 25N82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 30.0N 82.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS...CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND NEAR 34.8N 
78.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 37.4N
75.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 40.5N
71.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA NEAR 48.5N
58.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 20N73W TO 
21N72W TO 21N71W TO 20N71W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NO CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NO CHANGE.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 12N72W TO 12N75W TO 11N77W TO 13N77W TO 13N75W
TO 12N72W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 11N70W TO 12N73W TO 10N77W TO 14N77W TO 
14N72W TO 11N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N70W TO 10N76W TO 14N79W TO 18N75W TO
17N71W TO 12N70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N76W TO 12N77W TO 13N78W TO 14N77W TO
13N76W TO 11N76W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE... WITHIN 12N70W TO 10N79W TO 15N82W TO 17N80W TO 
17N70W TO 12N70W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N76W TO 11N77W TO 13N78W TO 13N76W TO
13N75W TO 11N76W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 12N70W TO 10N77W TO 15N82W TO 19N73W TO 16N69W
TO 12N70W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 03 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N85W TO 17N87W TO 17N86W TO
17N85W TO 16N85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N86W TO 16N86W TO 17N87W TO 
17N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.