000
FZNT02 KNHC 061535
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE JUL 6 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL  8.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 24.9N 82.8W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 06
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 24N81W TO 24N84W TO 26N84W TO 
27N83W TO 25N81W TO 24N81W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA... 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 28.9N 83.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 28N82W TO 27N83W TO 28N84W TO 30N84W TO 30N83W
TO 28N82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND NEAR 33.8N 
80.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS...CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 36.7N 76.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 39.5N 
72.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA NEAR 48.0N 
60.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 27 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 21N73W TO 
21N73W TO 21N72W TO 20N71W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.45 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 12N70W TO 12N73W TO 11N75W TO 13N77W TO 14N72W
TO 12N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N71W TO 11N78W TO 15N79W TO 17N74W TO
17N71W TO 12N71W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N70W TO 10N79W TO 15N81W TO 18N78W TO
17N71W TO 13N70W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N85W TO 16N85W TO 16N86W TO
17N86W TO 17N85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N86W TO 16N86W TO 18N88W TO 18N86W TO
17N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N86W TO 16N88W TO 17N88W TO 18N87W TO
17N86W TO 16N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.