000
FZNT02 KNHC 061007
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE JUL 06 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 08.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 24.1N 82.4W 1007 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 06
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N82W TO 22N81W TO 24N84W TO
26N83W TO 24N80W TO 23N82W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 28.0N 83.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30
NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N84W TO 27N82W TO 28N85W TO 29N85W TO 29N83W 
TO 28N84W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 28N83W TO 27N83W TO 27N84W TO 29N84W TO 29N83W TO 28N83W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA TO MOVE INLAND NEAR 
32.9N 81.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 38.5N 
74.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA WELL NE OF 
AREA NEAR 45.9N 62.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA WELL NE OF 
AREA NEAR 54.7N 48.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 11N71W TO 11N75W TO 13N76W TO 14N73W TO 13N70W
TO 11N71W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N70W TO 11N78W TO 14N79W TO 16N75W TO
15N71W TO 12N70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N69W TO 11N75W TO 12N79W TO 16N76W TO
17N71W TO 12N69W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 13N70W TO 11N76W TO 11N81W TO 17N80W TO 17N73W TO 13N70W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N84W TO 16N86W TO 17N87W TO
18N87W TO 18N85W TO 16N84W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E 
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.