000
FZNT02 KNHC 060411
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE JUL 06 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 08.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 23.5N 82.3W 1007 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 06
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N80W TO 
21N82W TO 24N84W TO 25N81W TO 24N80W TO 20N80W...INCLUDING THE 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 26.9N 83.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N82W TO 26N83W TO 27N84W TO 28N84W 
TO 28N83W TO 26N82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N82W TO 26N83W TO 27N85W TO 28N85W TO 
29N83W TO 25N82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA TO MOVE INLAND NEAR 
31.6N 82.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND WELL NE OF 
AREA NEAR 36.9N 76.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA WELL NE OF 
AREA NEAR 43.3N 66.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA WELL NE OF 
AREA NEAR 50.5N 52.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 11N70W TO 12N74W TO 14N73W TO 14N71W TO 13N70W
TO 11N70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N71W TO 12N75W TO 14N75W TO 15N72W TO
13N69W TO 11N71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N70W TO 11N76W TO 13N76W TO 16N74W TO
15N72W TO 13N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 13N72W TO 11N77W TO 14N80W TO 16N78W TO 15N71W TO 13N72W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N71W TO 13N78W TO 14N78W TO 16N75W TO
13N68W TO 11N71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N68W TO 11N80W TO 15N80W TO 16N74W TO 13N68W 
TO 12N68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N85W TO 16N87W TO 18N86W TO
18N85W TO 17N85W TO 16N85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E 
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.