000
FZNT02 KNHC 051556
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 5 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 5.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL  6.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL  7.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 21.5N 81.2W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 05
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
21N79W TO 22N81W TO 24N81W TO 24N80W TO 23N79W TO 
21N79W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 25.0N 83.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF EASTERN 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N81W TO 23N84W 
TO 24N85W TO 27N84W TO 25N81W TO 24N81W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS 
OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 29.3N 83.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
28N83W TO 28N84W TO 29N84W TO 30N84W TO 29N83W TO 28N83W WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND NEAR 31.5N 
82.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND NEAR 33.7N 
79.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 38.5N 
72.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA NEAR 44.5N 
61.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30N71W TO 29N72W TO 30N73W TO 31N73W TO 31N71W TO
30N71W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 12N70W TO 13N76W TO 17N77W TO 18N76W TO 16N73W
TO 12N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N71W TO 11N77W TO 14N78W TO 15N76W TO
14N72W TO 13N71W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N72W TO 11N76W TO 12N80W TO 14N80W TO
16N73W TO 12N72W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N87W TO 17N88W TO 18N88W TO
18N87W TO 17N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS... E TO SE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.