601 
FZNT02 KNHC 051009
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUL 05 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 07.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 21.0N 79.9W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 05
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N79W TO 20N80W TO 21N80W TO 
21N79W TO 20N79W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER STRAITS OF FLORIDA 
NEAR 23.9N 82.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N81W TO 23N84W TO 24N84W TO 25N82W TO 24N81W 
TO 23N81W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 28.0N 83.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N83W TO 27N82W TO 27N84W TO 29N84W 
TO 29N83W TO 28N83W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA JUST INLAND S CAROLINA 
NEAR 32.5N 80.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 36.8N 
74.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ELSA NEAR 42.0N 
64.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30N72W TO 28N73W TO 29N74W TO 31N74W TO 31N71W TO
30N72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS TO LIFT NE OF AREA.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 13N70W TO 11N71W TO 15N76W TO 18N76W TO 18N75W
TO 13N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N71W TO 12N72W TO 11N76W TO 14N75W TO
14N71W TO 11N71W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N70W TO 11N78W TO 14N80W TO 16N73W TO
14N70W TO 11N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N85W TO 16N86W TO 17N87W TO
18N86W TO 17N85W TO 16N85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E 
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.