000
FZNT02 KNHC 050414
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON JUL 05 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 07.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 20.6N 79.2W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 05 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N77W TO 19N78W TO 19N80W TO 
22N80W TO 20N76W TO 19N77W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO 
NEAR 23.5N 82.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE 
QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 23N81W TO 23N83W TO 24N83W TO 25N81W TO 24N81W TO 
23N81W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N79W TO 23N81W TO 
25N81W TO 24N83W TO 26N82W TO 24N79W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF 
FLORIDA...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT EXCEPT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT BETWEEN 82W AND 83W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 27.1N 83.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN SEAS TO 
15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N82W TO 26N83W TO 28N84W TO 28N83W TO 
TO 25N82W TO 26N82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA JUST INLAND GEORGIA NEAR 
31.5N 81.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA WELL INLAND NEAR 36.0N 
76.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 41.0N 
66.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30.5N71W TO 30.5N72.5W TO 31N72.5W TO 31N70W TO
30.5N71W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 12N69W TO 12N71W TO 13N73W TO 16N74W TO 17N74W
TO 12N69W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N71W TO 12N74W TO 13N74W TO 14N70W TO
13N69W TO 11N71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N69W TO 12N75W TO 15N75W TO 15N72W TO
13N69W TO 12N69W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N87W TO 17N87W TO 18N86W TO
17N85W TO 16N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.