146 
FZNT02 KNHC 042134
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUL 4 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL  6.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 19.8N 77.9W 1009 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 04
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N72W TO 17N75W TO 19N79W TO 
21N79W TO 19N73W TO 18N72W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE... 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
13N71W TO 17N77W TO 17N71W TO 16N70W TO 13N71W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 22.7N 81.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
23N79W TO 22N79W TO 23N82W TO 24N82W TO 25N79W TO 23N79W... 
INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 25.8N 83.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N81W TO 24N82W TO 24N84W TO 
27N84W TO 28N83W TO 25N81W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND NEAR 30.5N 
82.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELSA INLAND NEAR 34.9N 
78.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 40.0N 
69.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30.5N68.5W TO 30.5N70W TO 31N71W TO 31N67.5W TO
30.5N68.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30.5N70.5W TO 30.5N71.5W TO 30.5N73W TO
31N74W TO 31N70.5W TO 30.5N70.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN S SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N73W TO 14N75W TO 17N76W TO
18N75W TO 16N73W TO 13N73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N72W TO 12N74W TO 12N76W TO 14N76W TO
14N72W TO 13N72W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.