000
FZNT02 KNHC 041605
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN JUL 4 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL  6.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 18.7N 76.8W 1009 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 04
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N74W TO 
17N76W TO 19N77W TO 20N78W TO 20N75W TO 19N74W...INCLUDING THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 15N69W TO 15N77W TO 17N78W TO 18N74W TO 17N68W TO 
15N69W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 21.9N 80.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 21N79W TO 22N81W TO 23N80W TO 25N80W TO 23N79W TO 
21N79W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 24.7N 82.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 24N81W TO 24N83W TO 25N84W TO 27N83W TO 27N82W TO 24N81W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR COAST NEAR 28.6N 
82.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR 
FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 33.5N 79.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 38.5N 
71.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30.5N67.5W TO 30.5N71.5W TO 31N72.5W TO 31N67W TO
30.5N67.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30.5N72W TO 30.5N73.5W TO 31N74W TO 
31N71.5W TO 30.5N72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N72W TO 13N74W TO 17N76W TO
18N75W TO 16N72W TO 14N72W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N71W TO 11N76W TO 14N76W TO 15N74W TO
13N71W TO 12N71W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.