000
FZNT02 KNHC 041007
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN JUL 4 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL  6.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 18.1N 75.5W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 04
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...75 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 105 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N73W TO 17N76W TO 18N77W TO 21N75W TO 20N73W 
TO 18N73W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N69W TO 14N74W 
TO 17N77W TO 17N74W TO 18N70W TO 16N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 21.5N 79.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 20N TO 21.5N BETWEEN 78W AND 81W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 24.6N 
82.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 
13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N81W TO 24N84W TO 26N84W TO 26N82W TO 
25N80W TO 24N81W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 27.8N 82.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 33.2N 80.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 38.4N 
72.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30N70W TO 30N73W TO 31N74W TO 31N67W TO 30N70W SW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N71W TO 30N73.5W TO 31N74.5W TO 
31N70W TO 30N71W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N71W TO 11N73W TO 13N73W TO
14N71W TO 13N70W TO 12N71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N70W TO 11N75W TO 12N76W TO 14N73W TO
14N70W TO 11N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.