000
FZNT02 KNHC 040412
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN JUL 4 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL  6.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 17.9N 75.3W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 04
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N72W TO 16N75W TO 19N76W 
TO 21N74W TO 20N72W TO 17N72W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
13N71W TO 16N75W TO 16N73W TO 19N70W TO 17N67W TO 13N71W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 20.9N 79.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 24.1N 
82.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N80W TO 24N84W TO 26N82W 
TO 25N79W TO 23N80W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...E TO SE
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 28.0N 83.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 32.7N 81.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 37.7N 
74.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 29N70W TO 30N73W TO 31N75W TO 31N66W TO 29N70W S TO
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.27 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N71W TO 30N73W TO 30N74W TO 31N74W TO
31N70W TO 30N71W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 45 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N69W TO 11N72W TO 12N74W TO
14N73W TO 13N70W TO 12N69W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N69W TO 11N72W TO 12N74W TO 14N73W TO
13N70W TO 12N69W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.