000
FZNT02 KNHC 032157
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT JUL 3 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL  5.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 17.5N 73.9W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 03
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 24 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N72W TO 
17N74W TO 19N73W TO 18N72W TO 18N70W TO 16N72W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N66W TO 13N68W TO 
15N72W TO 22N66W TO 19N62W TO 18N66W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 20.2N 78.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N77W TO 20N79W 
TO 22N79W TO 21N76W TO 20N77W TO 19N77W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N76W TO 19N78W TO 22N74W TO
24N73W TO 23N71W TO 18N76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN E TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 23.1N 81.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N79W TO 24N83W 
TO 25N82W TO 25N79W TO 23N79W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF 
FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 26.9N 83.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 32.0N 82.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 36.5N 77.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 29N72W TO 29N74W TO 31N76W TO 31N68W TO 29N72W SW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30.5N69W TO 30.5N70W TO 31N70.5W TO 
31N67.5W TO 30.5N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N73W TO 29N75W TO 31N75W TO 31N72W TO
29N73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N69W TO 13N71W TO 16N75W TO
18N75W TO 18N71W TO 16N69W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N71W TO 14N75W TO 18N77W TO 18N76W TO
16N73W TO 13N71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AKR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.