000
FZNT02 KNHC 031602
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 3 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL  5.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 17.0N 71.6W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 03 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 25 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N67W TO 14N70W TO 18N71W TO 20N68W TO 17N66W 
TO 15N67W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N59W TO 17N63W TO 12N65W 
TO 14N70W TO 21N61W TO 17N59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 19.6N 76.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM IN SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM IN THE NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N73W TO 18N75W TO
19N77W TO 22N77W TO 22N75W TO 19N73W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 13N69W TO 14N73W TO 13N77W TO 18N77W TO 17N68W TO 
13N69W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 22.7N 80.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM IN NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N78W TO 21N81W TO 23N80W TO 24N82W TO 24N79W 
TO 22N78W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 25.9N 82.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 30.0N 82.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 35.0N 78.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30N71W TO 29N73W TO 29N74W TO 31N76W TO 31N70W TO
30N71W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30.5N68W TO 30.5N70.5W TO 30.5N71.5W TO
31N72W TO 31N66.5W TO 30.5N68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N72W TO 29N73W TO 29N74W TO
31N74W TO 31N72W TO 30N72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN S SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N70W TO 13N73W TO 16N75W TO
19N76W TO 16N71W TO 12N70W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE... E
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.