000
FZNT02 KNHC 031010
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT JUL 3 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL  5.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 16.2N 69.0W 998 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 03
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 27 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE
QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N62W TO 13N64W TO 14N69W TO 18N69W 
TO 19N64W TO 16N62W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...SE WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N57W TO 
14N60W TO 14N61W TO 21N63W TO 20N60W TO 17N57W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 19.0N 75.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N72W TO 16N74W TO 18N76W 
TO 22N75W TO 21N71W TO 17N72W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
13N69W TO 15N77W TO 18N77W TO 16N72W TO 17N67W TO 
13N69W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 20.5N 77.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 22.1N 79.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 20N77W TO 21N81W TO 24N81W TO 24N78W TO 23N77W TO 
20N77W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...SE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N69W TO 12N71W 
TO 19N79W TO 20N76W TO 17N72W TO 13N69W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 24.7N 82.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 28.2N 83.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 33.7N 80.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 29N73W TO 28N74W TO 28N76W TO 31N78W TO 31N73W TO
29N73W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N70W TO 29N72W TO 29N74W TO 31N74W TO
31N67W TO 29N70W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N73W TO 28N74W TO 29N75W TO 31N74W TO
31N70W TO 28N73W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.