162 
FZNT02 KNHC 030412
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT JUL 3 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL  5.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 14.8N 66.3W 995 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 03
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 25 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...30 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N60W TO 13N68W TO 17N68W TO 20N65W TO 17N59W 
TO 14N60W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N55W TO 10N59W 
TO 17N59W TO 20N62W TO 19N56W TO 16N55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 17.6N 73.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 105 NM NE QUADRANT...WITHIN 165 NM SE
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N70W TO 15N75W TO 17N75W TO 19N68W TO 
16N67W TO 12N70W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...E TO SE WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N67W TO 
19N68W TO 22N69W TO 22N68W TO 21N67W TO 19N67W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 20.5N 78.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
135 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W SW WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 22.1N 80.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 23.7N 
81.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 27.7N 82.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 32.4N 80.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 20N70W TO 20N72W TO 20N73W TO 22N72W TO 21N70W TO
20N70W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.09 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC WITHIN 29N75W TO 29N76W TO 31N77W TO 31N73W TO 29N75W S TO
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N68W TO 30N72W TO 30N74W TO 31N74W TO
31N67W TO 30N68W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.