000
FZNT02 KNHC 022219
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI JUL 02 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 04.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 14.2N 63.7W 991 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 02 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 26 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100
NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N58W TO 12N61W TO 13N64W TO 19N62W
TO 18N59W TO 14N58W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N57W TO 12N64W TO 17N64W TO 20N61W TO
17N53W TO 09N57W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 17.0N 71.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N67W TO 15N71W TO 17N73W TO 21N73W TO 18N66W 
TO 16N67W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND THE MONA 
PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 15N64W TO 12N67W TO 16N74W TO 21N73W TO 22N63W TO 
15N64W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND THE MONA PASSAGE...E 
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELSA INLAND NEAR 19.9N 77.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N75W TO 19N77W TO 20N79W TO 23N78W TO 
23N76W TO 21N75W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 22.9N 81.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA OVER WATER NEAR 26.5N 
83.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA INLAND NEAR 31.6N 82.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 21N70W TO 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 21N72W TO 22N71W TO
21N70W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS TO MERGE INTO THOSE DESCRIBED
ABOVE.

.ATLC WITHIN 30.5N73.5W TO 30.5N74W TO 30.5N76W TO 31N76.5W TO
31N73.5W TO 30.5N73.5W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N73W TO 29N74W TO 31N75W TO 31N69W TO
29N73W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS TO LIFT NE OF AREA.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 16N73W TO 16N75W TO 19N77W TO 18N74W TO 18N72W
TO 16N73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.