000
FZNT02 KNHC 021230 AAA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UPDATED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1230 UTC FRI JUL 2 2021

UPDATED TO UPGRADE STATUS OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA TO A HURRICANE 

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 13.1N 60.1W 995 MB AT 1230 UTC JUL 02 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 24 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N49W TO 09N53W TO 13N59W TO 18N58W TO 
18N52W TO 14N49W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELSA NEAR 15.4N 67.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N62W TO 
13N64W TO 14N69W TO 18N69W TO 19N63W TO 16N62W...INCLUDING THE 
MONA PASSAGE...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N60W TO 20N64W TO 21N64W TO 21N59W TO 
18N57W TO 14N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 18.7N 75.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N67W TO 12N70W TO 15N75W TO 18N76W 
TO 18N68W TO 14N67W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...SE WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N70W TO 
20N73W TO 22N75W TO 23N74W TO 22N72W TO 20N70W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 21.7N 79.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 25.2N 82.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 29.2N 82.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 20N73W TO
21N72W TO 21N71W TO 20N71W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N75W TO 30N76W TO 31N77W TO
31N73W TO 30N75W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N74W TO 30N77W TO 31N77W TO 31N71W TO
30N74W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N69W TO 30N71W TO 30N74W TO 31N74W TO
31N67W TO 30N69W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 15N68W TO 16N74W TO 17N75W TO 18N73W TO 17N68W
TO 15N68W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.15 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 16N86W TO 16N88W TO 18N88W TO 18N86W TO 17N85W
TO 16N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS/AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.