000
FZNT02 KNHC 012134
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU JUL 1 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL  3.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.ATLC TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 11.2N 53.8W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC 
JUL 01 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 25 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 10N48W TO 09N53W TO 12N55W TO 16N52W TO 14N47W TO 10N48W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 13.5N 62.4W IN
CARIBBEAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 120 NM SE
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N58W TO 12N63W 
TO 17N64W TO 19N60W TO 17N58W TO 13N58W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N53W TO 10N56W TO 19N59W 
TO 19N54W TO 14N53W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 16.7N 71.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N67W TO 16N73W TO 18N73W 
TO 18N68W TO 18N66W TO 15N67W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N64W TO 12N68W TO 13N71W TO 16N73W
TO 17N65W TO 14N64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 19.8N 77.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 22.5N 82.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 26.5N 83.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N72W TO 30N74W TO 30N78W TO
31N78W TO 31N72W TO 30N72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N70W TO 29N73W TO 29N74W TO 31N75W TO
31N69W TO 30N70W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 17N67W TO 16N68W TO 17N73W TO 18N72W TO 18N67W
TO 17N67W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE... E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N72W TO 14N74W TO 14N75W TO 17N75W TO
18N74W TO 14N72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N86.5W TO 16N87W TO
16.5N87W TO 17N87W TO 17N86.5W TO 16N86.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF HONDURAS... E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.