000 FZNT02 KNHC 011601 HSFAT2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC THU JUL 1 2021 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 01. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 02. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 03. .WARNINGS. ...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 10.1N 51.4W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 01 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 24 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N47W TO 08N50W TO 10N52W TO 13N52W TO 14N47W TO 11N47W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N45W TO 08N50W TO 13N52W TO 15N49W TO 14N45W TO 11N45W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 12.6N 59.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS... AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N59W TO 12N61W TO 14N61W TO 14N60W TO 14N59W TO 11N59W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N53W TO 11N61W TO 19N61W TO 18N55W TO 16N51W TO 09N53W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 15.9N 69.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N68W TO 16N71W TO 17N71W TO 18N70W TO 18N68W TO 16N68W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N64W TO 13N65W TO 16N71W TO 21N69W TO 20N59W TO 17N64W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 19.3N 76.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 22.0N 80.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 25.6N 82.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .ATLC WITHIN 30N35W TO 29N39W TO 29N41W TO 31N43W TO 31N35W TO 30N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN W TO NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .ATLC 09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 21N72W TO 21N71W TO 20N70W TO 20N71W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .ATLC 39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N73W TO 30N75W TO 30N77W TO 31N77W TO 31N73W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT JUST NW OF AREA. WITHIN 30N71W TO 29N73W TO 29N76W TO 31N77W TO 31N70W TO 30N71W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .CARIBBEAN WITHIN 16N64W TO 15N68W TO 18N68W TO 18N66W TO 17N64W TO 16N64W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N70W TO 16N75W TO 18N76W TO 18N72W TO 18N70W TO 15N70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .CARIBBEAN 15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N86W TO 16N87W TO 17N88W TO 18N86W TO 16N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.