000
FZNT02 KNHC 010936
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU JUL 1 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL  3.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 9.4N 48.8W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 01
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 22 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 09N46W TO 09N51W TO 12N51W TO 15N48W TO 
13N41W TO 09N46W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 11.7N 56.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N48W TO 10N52W TO 11N59W TO 
17N61W TO 18N53W TO 14N48W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 14.9N 66.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N56W TO 
10N60W TO 15N70W TO 21N67W TO 20N57W TO 15N56W...INCLUDING THE 
MONA PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 18.0N 74.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 21.0N 79.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELSA NEAR 24.5N 82.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N71W TO 20N72W TO 21N73W TO
21N72W TO 21N71W TO 20N71W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NO CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.ATLC 42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N74W TO 30N77W TO 31N77W TO 
31N72W TO 30N74W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N73W TO 29N75W TO 30N77W TO 31N77W TO
31N71W TO 29N73W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE AXIS ALONG 64W S OF 20N. WITHIN 16N57W
TO 14N65W TO 18N67W TO 17N62W TO 20N59W TO 16N57W E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE AXIS ALONG 74W S OF 20N. WITHIN 
16N68W TO 15N70W TO 17N74W TO 18N74W TO 17N71W TO 
16N68W...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.39 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE AXIS ALONG 76W S OF 20N. 
CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN 11N74W TO 11N80W TO 15N80W TO 15N78W TO 13N74W
TO 11N74W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.CARIBBEAN 18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N86W TO 16N87W TO 17N87W TO
17N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NO CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.