000
FZNT02 KNHC 180117 AAA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UPDATED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0117 UTC THU SEP 17 2020

UPDATED TO INCLUDE NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY TWO

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE TEDDY NEAR 20.1N 54.1W 951 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 17 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM E SEMICIRCLE...300 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. WITHIN 
AREA BOUNDED BY 20N49W TO 17N51W TO 20N57W TO 26N57W TO 
27N51W TO 20N49W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 17N45W TO 11N52W TO 21N64W TO 30N61W TO 31N46W TO 
17N45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEDDY NEAR 22.8N 56.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 
18N55W TO 20N59W TO 26N61W TO 28N52W TO 25N50W TO 18N55W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
19N46W TO 14N57W TO 21N68W TO 31N61W TO 31N47W TO 19N46W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEDDY NEAR 26.3N 59.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 
N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 27N52W TO 23N56W TO 24N63W TO 29N64W TO 31N54W TO 
27N52W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 20N47W TO 15N58W TO 23N71W TO 31N69W TO 31N48W TO 20N47W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEDDY NEAR 29.5N 63.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEDDY NEAR 33.9N 63.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEDDY NEAR 41.3N 62.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO NEAR 21.9N 94.3W 1005 MB AT 2300 
UTC SEP 17 MOVING NE OR 035 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 23N93W TO 23N95W TO 
24N95W TO 25N94W TO 25N93W TO 23N93W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS LESS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR TWENTY-TWO NEAR 23.8N 
93.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 23N93W TO 23N97W TO 
24N96W TO 25N93W TO 23N93W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENT-TWO NEAR 25.4N 92.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRLCE AND 30 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-TWO NEAR 26.1N 93.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-TWO NEAR 26.1N 95.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-TWO NEAR 25.6N 96.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF VICKY NEAR...21N39W 1008 MB. AT 2100 UTC SEP 
17 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 12 KT. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N35W TO 
21N37W TO 25N39W TO 26N42W TO 25N35W TO 22N35W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PRES NEAR 20N42W 1013 MB. WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 20N40W TO 20N42W TO 22N42W TO 23N41W TO 21N39W TO 20N40W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 1O FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 22N35W TO 19N41W TO 20N47W TO 31N46W TO 31N35W TO 22N35W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED E AND NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 
15N35W TO 20N40W TO 19N47W TO 31N48W TO 31N35W TO 15N35W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N86W TO 22N97W. 
WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N96W TO 22N97W TO 23N98W TO 24N97W TO 
24N96W TO 22N96W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FRONT FROM 28N83W TO 27N88W THEN 
STATIONARY TO 25N96W. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 20N95W TO 22N97W TO 
24N98W TO 28N96W TO 29N92W TO 20N95W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF 
VERACRUZ... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.