000
FZNT02 KNHC 300922
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON SEP 30 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 28.7N 43.1W 957 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 30 
MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM NE 
QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...360 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 450 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 
330 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. 
REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF LINE FROM 28N61W TO 16N50W TO 
19N40W TO 25N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO N OF AREA NEAR 32.7N 40.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...200 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 190 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
450 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 480 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 43 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM E AND 270 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 13 TO 23 FT. REMAINDER OF 
FORECAST WATERS N OF LINE FROM 17N35W TO 18N53W TO 31N59W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO N OF AREA NEAR 40.5N 31.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SW QUADRANT AND 220 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT N OF 29N E OF 40W. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF LINE FROM 23N35W TO 23N42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 16 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. N OF LINE FROM 23N42W TO 30N60W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 52.0N 
20.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 57.0N 
13.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 26N BETWEEN 61W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NE TO E SWELL. FROM 23N TO 27N BETWEEN 71W AND 77W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL OUTSIDE BAHAMAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N W OF 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND E SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 31N67W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF LINE FROM 30N60W TO 27N80W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN E SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 25N BETWEEN 80W AND 
83W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 25N BETWEEN 80W AND 
83W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.