000
FZNT02 KNHC 281505
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 22.5N 44.8W 957 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 28
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE
QUADRANT...190 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 200 NM
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...390 NM NE QUADRANT AND 300 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM W SEMICIRCLE...450 NM NE 
QUADRANT...AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 810 NM S SEMICIRCLE...630 NM NE 
QUADRANT...AND 660 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 25.6N 44.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 580 NM W SEMICIRCLE...420 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 330 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 610 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...450 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 07N TO 31N E OF 66W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 28.8N 43.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM W SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 220 NM SE 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 22N E 
OF 50W WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 
21N E OF 49W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 16N E OF 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE 
LORENZO NEAR 33.3N 39.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110
KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE 
LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 40.5N 29.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST 
POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 51.0N 16.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.