000
FZNT02 KNHC 280236
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 20.8N 44.1W 952 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 28 
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 330 NM SE 
AND NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM E 
AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 29N E OF 55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 23.7N 44.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 230 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
420 NM NE...330 NM SE...390 NM SW...AND 450 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND 240 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA N OF 18N E OF 62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 43W AND 58W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 27.0N 43.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM 
NE...300 NM SE...330 NM SW...AND 570 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
44 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 20N E OF 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 40W AND 53W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 30.7N 41.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 36.5N 34.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 
45.5N 22.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF KAREN...NEAR 29.5N 58.5W 1008 MB. 
WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRLCE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANT OF KAREN...NEAR 29N60W 1009 
MB. CONDITIONS MERGE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.