000
FZNT02 KNHC 210914
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 21.4N 64.0W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 21
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N61W TO 19N62W TO 20N66W TO 
23N65W TO 23N62W TO 20N61W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 24.3N 66.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N65W 
TO 22N68W TO 23N69W TO 25N69W TO 26N65W TO 23N65W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 27.3N 67.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N67W 
TO 25N70W TO 27N71W TO 29N67W TO 27N65W TO 24N67W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N71W TO 22N70W 
TO 29N80W TO 31N74W TO 31N66W TO 27N71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.8N 66.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 33.2N 63.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 36.7N 60.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 25N76W TO 24N80W TO 28N80W TO 27N78W TO 28N75W TO
25N76W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED. 

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N38W TO 11N48W TO 
19N68W TO 30N81W TO 31N35W TO 17N38W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 13N46W TO 
07N55W TO 21N64W TO 28N80W TO 31N68W TO 13N46W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
WITHIN 19N35W TO 17N40W TO 22N43W TO 28N40W TO 31N35W TO 19N35W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED.

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE S OF 15N ALONG 52W. WITHIN 
09N52W TO 10N54W TO 12N55W TO 12N51W TO 11N50W TO 09N52W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
11.5N58.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 11N58W TO 13N60W TO 15N60W TO 16N58W 
TO 14N56W TO 11N58W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N63.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 14N62W TO 13N64W TO 15N65W TO 17N65W 
TO 17N63W TO 14N62W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
WITHIN 14N59W TO 11N60W TO 14N61W TO 19N62W TO 18N61W TO 14N59W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO WITHIN 25N81W TO 24N84W TO 25N87W TO 27N87W TO
28N83W TO 25N81W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.