000
FZNT02 KNHC 210301
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 20.2N 63.1W 991 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 21
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...120 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N 
BETWEEN 38W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 22.6N 66.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 20N TO 31N 
BETWEEN 55W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 25.3N 68.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 22N TO 31N 
BETWEEN 65W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 27.9N 68.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 30.8N 66.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 34.5N 62.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW NEAR 10N52W 1010 MB. FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 44W TO 
54W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 11N58W 
1009 MB. FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 20N WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N63W 
1008MB. FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 61W AND 65W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 19N BETWEEN 57W AND 66W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.


.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N60W TO 25N70W TO 24N75W. FROM 25N TO 
29N BETWEEN 71W AND 79W E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 
18N BETWEEN 65W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST ATLANTIC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N60W TO 
24N77W. FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 81W 
WIND 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 19N E OF 43W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N AND NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 80W AND 86W E WIND 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.